It’s that time of year again. There’s slush on the ground, the days are slowly getting longer and, most importantly, it’s Oscar season, with the big show itself just a few days away. We know, we know – the Oscars get annoying very quickly, and considering the political nature of it all, the best movies rarely seem to win. All the same though, it can be fun to follow those politics and track the race, if only to see what insane, attention-baiting stunt Harvey Weinstein is pulling this year.
But even if you don’t follow the race, it’d be a shame if you had miss out on your Oscar pool accordingly. So (with the help of staff writer Ben Murray) we’ve gone ahead and put together our predictions for this year’s awards.
Argo (Will Win)
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln (Dark Horse)
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Why? Because Argo’s an amazing story told in a very engaging way and, more importantly, it’s the kind of movie you’ll stumble across on TNT for the next few decades and momentarily forget that you ever saw. It could be Lincoln if they’re feeling patriotic (or Silver Linings if they’re feeling sentimental), but the TNT factor is crucial.
Michael Haneke, Amour
Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Ang Lee, Life of Pi (Dark Horse)
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln (Will Win)
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Why? Because Ben Affleck got snubbed. It could be Ang Lee, if Life of Pi squeaks by with more than technical wins, and it could even be David O. Russell, but for now (as tends to be the case), the safe bet is Spielberg.
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln (Will Win, No Dark Horse!)
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight
Why? Because Daniel Day-Lewis is generally unstoppable, and his biggest competition is the second lead from All About Steve (who, to be fair, was really great in Silver Linings). Sorry Joaquin – we’re down to drink some paint thinner and chill with some sand sculpture biddies with you, if it makes you feel better.
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook (Will Win)
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour (Dark Horse)
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Why? Because she’ll give a wacky acceptance speech and everyone – including the Academy – wants to see that. It doesn’t hurt that Chastain, her initial primary competition, has seemingly been knocked out of the race (ostensibly as part of bogus “torture” controversy that has dogged Zero Dark since release).
Best Supporting Actor:
Alan Arkin, Argo
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook (Dark Horse)
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained (Will Win)
Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, The Master
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables (Will Win, No Dark Horse!)
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
Why? Because, at this point, Anne Hathaway will probably cut someone if it goes any other way.
We know the Oscars are often ridiculous, and almost never arbiters of taste aside from the middlebrow, but the annual prognostication can be really fun! So let us know in the comments: who do you think will win?